Steve October 17, 2020

Source: Newsweek

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s team warned its supporters to “campaign like we’re trailing” in polls the same day that his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris, announced she would visit Florida on Monday.

Harris, a Democrat from California, is set to visit Orlando and Jacksonville to celebrate the first day of early in-person voting, The Hill reported. The events mark her first public appearances since the campaign announced Thursday that multiple staffers tested positive for COVID-19.

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But in a memo slated to be sent to supporters on Saturday, Biden campaign manager Jennifer O’Malley Dillon cautioned that polls can be faulty or imprecise, The New York Times reported. And while national polling averages do show Biden with a strong lead, some individual states are proving more worrisome for the Democrat.

“While we see robust leads at the national level, in the states we’re counting on to carry us to victory like Arizona and North Carolina we’re only up by three points,” she wrote in the memo obtained by the Times. “We also know that even the best polling can be wrong, and that variables like turnout mean that in a number of critical states we are functionally tied — and that we need to campaign like we’re trailing.”

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The Biden campaign is absolutely correct. Polling does not equal voting. For example, in Texas where the Governor is limiting ballot drop boxes to 1 ballot box per County, thus giving a huge advantage to red counties, it is going to be a challenge for voters in Blue areas to cast a ballot.

So what is a Biden is ahead if Governors and conservative courts conspire to make voting really difficult? Yes, it is not John Lewis difficult, but Republicans are working hard to get back to those days.

from Democratic Underground

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