Steve January 11, 2021
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Joe Biden’s Cabinet is set to make history. If all of his nominees are confirmed, 12 of the 24 offices he has designated as Cabinet-levelIn addition to members of the actual Cabinet, like the secretary of state or secretary of education, the president can designate other advisers, such as the U.S. trade representative or director of national intelligence, as “Cabinet-level” positions. Which positions are Cabinet-level sometimes changes from presidency to presidency.

” data-footnote-id=”1″ href=”http://fivethirtyeight.com/#fn-1″>1 will be held by women. And as the chart below shows, that would break a record. Up until now, the most women to serve in these positions at once was eight, first during Bill Clinton’s administration and then again during Barack Obama’s administration.The chart only covers Cabinets since Jimmy Carter was president, but before 1977 there was a grand total of only three female Cabinet secretaries: Frances Perkins, Franklin D. Roosevelt’s secretary of labor; Oveta Culp Hobby, Dwight Eisenhower’s secretary of health, education and welfare; and Carla Anderson Hills, Gerald Ford’s secretary of housing and urban development.

” data-footnote-id=”2″ href=”http://fivethirtyeight.com/#fn-2″>2 What’s more, under Biden, women will occupy three high-profile Cabinet-level posts for the first time: vice president, secretary of the treasury and director of national intelligence.

An equal number of men and women in the Cabinet is a rare accomplishment indeed. It would be the first gender-balanced Cabinet in U.S. history. And it’s rare globally, too. According to data from the Inter-Parliamentary Union and UN Women, as of Jan. 1, 2020, only 14 countries had cabinets or cabinet equivalents where at least half of the appointments were held by women. (The U.S. would also be the largest of these countries by far.)

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Biden’s Cabinet is also poised to reach another remarkable milestone: A majority of its members aren’t white, and many will break barriers by serving in their future role.It is very likely that this also makes Biden’s Cabinet the most racially diverse Cabinet in American history, but we can’t confirm that, as information on the race of past Cabinet officials is not comprehensively available.

” data-footnote-id=”3″ href=”http://fivethirtyeight.com/#fn-3″>3 Vice President-elect Kamala Harris, for instance, will be the first Black person and first South Asian American to serve as vice president. And Lloyd Austin would be the first Black secretary of defense in American history, while Xavier Becerra and Alejandro Mayorkas would be the first Latinos to lead, respectively, the Department of Health and Human Services and the Department of Homeland Security. Meanwhile, Deb Haaland would be the first Indigenous person to lead the Department of the Interior, which includes the Bureau of Indian Affairs and has jurisdiction over all public lands, which Native Americans have been fighting the federal government over for centuries. And Council of Economic Advisers Chair-designate Cecilia Rouse, Office of Management and Budget Director-designate Neera Tanden and U.S. Trade Representative-designate Katherine Tai would also be the first women of color in their respective roles. In total, Biden’s Cabinet picks include six Black people, four Latinos, three Asian people and one Native American.

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This all represents progress, to be sure, but some barriers remain unbroken. For instance, the “inner Cabinet” — the vice president, attorney general and secretaries of state, defense and treasury, who typically have the closest ties to the president — will still be three-fifths white and three-fifths male. And the most diverse part of Biden’s Cabinet will be the Cabinet-level positions that are not part of the presidential line of succession (the bottom grouping of offices on the chart). So just because women and people of color are equal in number to men and white people does not mean they are equal in terms of influence. And even though Biden has appointed a historic number of women, they still struggle to gain a foothold in stereotypically male Cabinet posts; we have still never had a female secretary of defense, secretary of veterans affairs or chief of staff.

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Nathaniel Rakich is an elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. @baseballot

Anna Wiederkehr is a senior visual journalist for FiveThirtyEight. @wiederkehra

Meredith Conroy is an associate professor of political science at California State University, San Bernardino, and co-author of “Who Runs? The Masculine Advantage in Candidate Emergence.” @sidney_b

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