Michigan Republicans hope to leverage the state’s open seat to end a nine-cycle losing streak in the chamber
With one month until the filing deadline for primary ballot access in Michigan’s 2024 U.S. Senate race (April 23rd), the state is almost certain to shatter its record for the most candidates vying for the Republican Party nomination.
While some of the dozen announced candidates may yet withdraw from the race before the early August primary, a new party record will be set if even half remain in the race.
Among the candidates running to fill the seat of retiring Democrat Debbie Stabenow are three former U.S. Representatives (Peter Meijer, Justin Amash, Mike Rogers), Ottawa County Commissioner Rebekah Curran, and former U.S. House candidate Sandy Pensler.
Across the state’s 40 U.S. Senate primaries since 1916, the largest number of Republicans to appear on the ballot has been just four – occurring seven times:
- 1918: Former U.S. Secretary of the Navy Truman Newberry defeated auto maker Henry Ford by 18.0 points
- 1922: Two-term Senator Charles Townsend beat State Senator Herbert Baker by 6.1 points
- 1924: Appointed Senator James Couzens defeated federal Judge Arthur Tuttle by 7.2 points
- 1952: U.S. Representative Charles Porter beat Auditor General John Martin by 23.0 points
- 1976: U.S. Representative Marvin Esch defeated former State Supreme Court Justice Thomas Brennan by 16.7 points
- 1982: Former U.S. Representative Philip Ruppe beat former State Senator William Ballenger by 23.7 points
- 2012: Former U.S. Representative Pete Hoekstra defeated former State Board of Education member W. Clark Durant by 20.7 points
Since 1916, the average number of choices Michigan voters have had in Republican U.S. Senate primaries is just 2.0 candidates.
In fact, Republicans have won their party’s U.S. Senate nomination without opposition 15 times: Senator Arthur Vandenberg (1928 special primary, 1928, 1934, 1946), Senator Homer Ferguson (1948, 1954), Senator Charles Potter (1958), Senator Robert Griffin (1966 special primary, 1966, 1972), Senator Spencer Abraham (2000), State Representative Andrew Raczkowski (2002), State Representative Jack Hoogendyk (2008), former Secretary of State Terry Land (2014), and transportation business owner John James (2020).
The 2024 field will also likely best the all-time state record in a U.S. Senate primary – six candidates – occurring on the Democratic side of the ballot in 1978 and 1994.
In 1978, former Detroit City Councilor Carl Levin easily defeated five opponents en route to unseating GOP Senator Robert Griffin.
In 1994’s open seat race following the retirement of Democrat Donald Riegle, U.S. Representative Bob Carr eked out a 0.9-point win against State Senator Lana Pollack with just 24.0 percent of the vote.
Carr still holds the state record for the narrowest victory in a U.S. Senate primary and the smallest plurality-winning support for a nominee.
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